Apple crept up 0.2 percent on Friday, while Microsoft added
1 percent. With that, Microsoft's market capitalisation stood at $2.887
trillion, its highest ever, according to LSEG data. Apple's market
capitalisation was $2.875 trillion, calculated with data in a filing on
Thursday.
Worries about smartphone demand have pushed Apple's shares
down 3 percent so far in 2024 after rallying 48 percent last year. Microsoft is
up about 3 percent year to date after surging 57 percent in 2023 in a rally
driven in part by its lead in generative artificial intelligence through an
investment in ChatGPT-maker OpenAI.
Apple's market capitalisation peaked at $3.081 trillion on
December 14, according to LSEG.
Microsoft has incorporated OpenAI's technology across its
suite of productivity software, a move that helped spark a rebound in its
cloud-computing business in the July-September quarter. Its AI lead has also
created an opportunity to challenge Google's dominance of web search.
Apple, meanwhile, has been grappling with tepid demand,
including for the iPhone, its cash cow. Demand in China, a major market, has
slumped as the country's economy makes a slow recovery from the COVID-19
pandemic and a resurgent Huawei erodes its market share.
Sales of Apple's Vision Pro mixed-reality headset start on
February 2 in the United States, marking Apple's biggest product launch since
the iPhone in 2007. However, UBS in a report this week estimated that Vision
Pro sales would be "relatively immaterial" to Apple's earnings per
share in 2024.
A handful of times since 2018, Microsoft has briefly taken
the lead over Apple as the most valuable company, most recently in 2021, when
concerns about supply chain shortages related to the COVID-19 pandemic hit the
iPhone maker's stock price.
Both tech stocks look relatively expensive in terms of price
to their expected earnings, a common method of valuing publicly listed
companies. Apple is trading at a forward PE of 28, well above its average of 19
over the past 10 years, according to LSEG data. Microsoft is trading around 32
times forward earnings, above its 10-year average of 24.
In its most recent quarterly report in November, Apple gave
a sales forecast for the holiday quarter that missed Wall Street expectations,
hurt by weak demand for iPads and wearables.
Analysts on average see Apple posting revenue up 0.7 percent
to $117.9 billion for the December quarter, according to LSEG. That would mark
its first year-on-year revenue increase in four quarters. Apple reports its
results on February 1.
Analysts see Microsoft reporting a 16 percent increase in
revenue to $61.1 billion, lifted by ongoing growth in its cloud business when
it reports in the coming weeks. © Reuters