Brent futures settled down 6 cents, or 0.08%, at$76.55 a
barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude finished down 15 cents, or
0.21%, at $71.43.
The market tumbled earlier in the session after a New York
Federal Reserve Bank manufacturing survey showed a third month of declines in
new orders, which could be a sign of weaker demand for oil in the coming year.
"What started the sell off was the sharp drop in the
New York manufacturing numbers," said Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures
Group.
"This market seems a little more sensitive to every new
headline," Flynn added. "They're still not sure we've found the
bottom to this market."
Traders were also shaken by comments from New York Federal
Reserve Bank President John Williams on Friday about hopes for interest rate
cuts in the coming year.
"We aren't really talking about rate cuts right
now," Williams said in an interview with CNBC. When it comes to the
question of lowering rates, "I just think it's just premature to be even
thinking about that" at this point, he said.
On Thursday Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said
interest rate hikes intended to curb inflation were likely at an end, but left
open the possibility for further increases.
The dollar fell to a four-month low on Thursday after the
U.S. central bank after Powell's comments, seeing signs lower borrowing costs
are coming in 2024. The dollar index was broadly steady on Friday.
A weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated oil cheaper for
foreign buyers.
World oil consumption will rise by 1.1 million barrels per
day (bpd) in 2024, the IEA said in a monthly report.
While that is a 130,000-bpd increase from its previous
forecast, the estimate is less than half of the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries' (OPEC) demand forecast of 2.25 million bpd.
OPEC and its allies led by Russia, in late November agreed
on voluntary cuts of about 2.2 million bpd lasting throughout the first
quarter.
"The markets in general and oil in particular are
trying to sort out what's going on," said John Kilduff, partner with Again
Capital LLC. "Everyone's trying to feel their way."
Money managers cut their net long U.S. crude futures and
options positions in the week to December 12, the U.S. Commodity Futures
Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday.
Another bullish signal for oil markets on Friday was the
lower drilling rig count from energy technology firm Baker Hughes. The oil and
gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, fell by 3 to 623 in the
week to Dec. 15.
Baker Hughes said U.S. oil rigs fell 2 to 501 this week,
while gas rigs were unchanged at 119. That brings the rig count down from a
post-pandemic high of 784 in December 2022 due to a drop in oil and gas prices.
– Reuters