The Ethiopian Communications Authority has so far reportedly
only issued a request for qualifications (RFQ) notice inviting participants to
get involved by filing expressions of interest by 15 September.
The announcement, made on Friday, should bring more
competition to one of Africa's largest underserved markets. While recent
figures are hard to come by, earlier this year Ethio Telecom revealed that it
had around 70 million total subscribers, including 27.2 million to its mobile
phone-based financial service Telebirr, launched in May 2021.
Safaricom Ethiopia meanwhile, has over three million
customers according to March figures, though this figure is like to be higher
today – and Safaricom is aiming for 10 million by 2024.
Will things be tough for a new entrant? Not necessarily.
Ethiopia has the second-biggest population in Africa – some 120 million people
– and only two mobile operators unlike many countries in the continent where as
many as four or five are operating.
And penetration, at an estimated 53-57% depending on the
source, is low enough to make the country an attractive prospect for new
business – except that about three-quarters of the population lives in rural
areas, coverage of which may affect ARPU.
Nevertheless, mobile telecoms is still seen as one of the
most attractive sectors for investment in the government’s ongoing push to
liberalise the economy. However, the truth or otherwise of that view will be
revealed when would-be licence-holders respond to the RFQ