Shares in companies that specialize in publishing school textbooks and offering online classes took a big hit on Tuesday after signs emerged that AI-bots such as ChatGPT were eating into their business.
Almost £1bn has been wiped off the stock market value of the
digital learning company Pearson after a US rival admitted that the rise of
artificial intelligence chatbot ChatGPT is hurting its business.
Jittery investors sent Pearson’s shares down more than 15%,
making it the biggest faller among London-listed companies on Tuesday, after
the California-based online learning service Chegg reported a 5% drop in
subscribers and pulled its full-year guidance.
“Since March we have seen a significant spike in student
interest in ChatGPT,” said Chegg chief executive, Dan Rosensweig, whose company
saw its share price almost halve after publication of its first quarter
results. “We now believe it’s having an impact on our new customer growth
rate.”
Pearson, which last week published first quarter results
that beat its own forecasts, said that its business is much more ChatGPT-proof
than Chegg, which offers on-demand answers to college course questions for
$19.95 a month.
“Chegg is a fundamentally different company with a different
business model,” said a spokesperson for Pearson. “We are a highly diversified
company, with 80% of our profits coming from businesses outside higher
education.”
The company also said its subscription service, Pearson+,
continues to grow, with user numbers up threefold since last spring.
“While ChatGPT could be seen as an alternative for students
seeking answers to their homework we do not see it as an alternative to
Pearson’s text books, courseware, and learning platforms that provide trusted
programmes that are adopted by colleges, and have to be followed and consumed
by students for about 70% of higher education courses,” said analysts at JP
Morgan.
“The difference is that Pearson provides the content and
sets the questions whereas Chegg and ChatGPT provide answers to those
questions.”
Chegg has previously clashed with colleges in the US over
accusations that its technology enables students to submit answers that are not
their own.
Last month, the company launched a service built with
ChatGPT-4, called CheggMate. “[We are] embracing [generative AI] aggressively
and prioritising our investments to meet this opportunity,” said Rosensweig.
“Investors will inevitably worry about the readacross to
Pearson as another supplier to the US Higher Ed market,” said Thomas
Singlehurst, an analyst at Citi. “Generative AI is a great tool for ‘cheating’
[but] less good (for now) for content creation/assessment. Net/net, though, it
seems likely it will weigh on sentiment for the broader educational services
space in the short term.”
Shares in Pearson closed down 133p to 754p, to value it at
£5.4bn.