When a slow-motion massacre has unfolded over the
course of 15 months, it's easy to lose the world's attention. But even the most
jaded gasped in horror as news emerged of the latest carnage inflicted on the
Syrian people. The images from the town of Houla defied belief.
Forces loyal to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad
went on asystematic killing spree,
murdering at least 108 people. Most shockingly, the killers targeted women and
children. A U.N. representative said the victims included 49
children who were younger than 10. The al-Assad regime denied it carried out
the atrocities, but U.N. officials said they saw clear evidence that the Syrian
government was involved in the attacks.
Why would a regime, even a brutal dictatorship,
send its thugs to kill women and children, even babies? Does it make any sense,
even by the twisted logic of armed conflict and tyranny?
In a most perverse, sickening way, it makes perfect
sense. And for the logic underlying this most inhuman tactic, one need only
look at what has transpired in recent months and years as uprisings have sprung
throughout the region, from Iran to Tunisia.
Now that Tehran has -- perhaps accidentally -- revealedthat it has sent
some of its forces to help al-Assad, the strategy has become even easier to
understand.
The Syrian dictator is trying to
restore a balance of fear, perhaps the most powerful weapon in the hands of
tyrants throughout history. Killing children is supposed to intimidate the
opposition.
A couple of days after the Houla massacre, a top
commander of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards, Ismail Ghani, told a reporter
from Iran's Isna news that "before our presence in Syria, too many people
were killed by the opposition but with the physical and nonphysical presence of
the Islamic republic, big massacres in Syria were prevented." Isna quickly
deleted the interview, but the news was out.
Ghani is the deputy commander of the Quds Force,
whose mission is "extraterritorial operations," or revolution beyond
Iran's borders.
Western diplomats are pushing for a negotiated
settlement, but Syria, Iran's only ally in the Arab world, is following what
looks very much like an Iranian script, using blunt force to put down
anti-government protests.
That's what Iran did in 2009 when the so-called Green
Revolution arose after the disputed presidential elections. Tehran used its paramilitary Basij militias to brutally suppress the
protests. But that was before the Arab uprisings showed people throughout the
Middle East that sometimes revolutions do succeed.
When al-Assad scans the horizon, he sees what
happened to other Arab dictators. The presidents of Egypt, Tunisia and Yemen
have lost power. The example of Moammar Gadhafi does not seem to apply to him
so far, since opinion in the West until now has leaned against direct military
intervention
A reign of terror helped al-Assad's father, the
feared Hafez Assad, keep power for three decades, and then hand the country to
his son as if it amounted to private property to be inherited by the next
generation. When the elder Assad faced an uprising in 1982, he ordered his
loyal army to pulverize the opposition. The entire town of Hama was razed to
the ground. Estimates of the dead range from 10,000 to 30,000 killed
by Assad's troops. That put a quick end to the revolt.
The younger al-Assad is trying to do his father
proud. But, despite the mounting death toll, he has lost the weapon of fear.
Already 13,000 people are said to have died in the Syrian uprising. Despite
that, the protesters are not staying home.
Al-Assad, incidentally, denies any responsibility
for the Houla massacre. He blames "terrorists," but nobody's buying his
denials. Witnesses say, and the evidence confirms, that government troops
started firing tank shells and mortars at protesters during the
Friday demonstration that has become a ritual of the anti-dictatorship
movement. But the worst was yet to come.
Houla is a Sunni Muslim town, a stronghold of the
anti-Assad movement. It is also home to a military college, from where the tank and
mortar fire came. U.N. observers found evidence of tank shells, which are not
part of the opposition's arsenal.
Before long, paramilitary forces known as the
Shabiha -- the Syrian version of Iran's Basij -- joined the fight, assaulting
demonstrators with gunfire and knives. By nightfall, the attacks became the
worst of nightmares. The Shabiha, gangs of thugs and criminals, mostly belong
to the president's Alawite sect. According to the U.N., about 20 people were killed by artillery fire. Most of
the others were murdered execution-style in their homes. In some cases, entire
families were killed.
In the face of the heart wrenching death toll, the
U.S., the West and the rest of the world are feeling renewed pressure to take
action. The Syrian opposition and some in the region have called for intervention, but few
are inclined to step in.
Some observers, including Zbigniew Brzezinski, a
former national security adviser, say the U.S. should step back, arguing that as tragic as the
situation is, there are many other problems of greater importance.
But the probable presence of Iran in Syria
highlights just how important this battle is, and not just for the Syrian
people. The U.S. and the rest of the world should care about Syria not only for
humanitarian reasons, but because the entire Middle East is now in play.
If al-Assad survives, it will mark a victory for
anti-American, anti-democratic forces in the Middle East. It will tilt the
balance of power in the region in favor of dictatorship, in favor of the use of
force and fear as the instrument of power and in favor of a regime in Tehran
whose aim is to export its brand of retrograde, anti-American, anti-women, anti-gay, freedom-suppressing revolution.
If al-Assad falls, it will mark a major defeat for
Iran, one that will alter the region in ways that, while not certain to follow
American wishes in every respect, has the potential to eventually improve
stability.
This is the Syrian people's fight, and there's no need
now to put American "boots on the ground." But the U.S. government
has a long menu of options to help bring about the end of the despicable
al-Assad regime.
No choice is without risk, and no route is assured
of success, but it is clear that those seeking to overthrow the al-Assad regime
should receive more active help from the West. The riskiest course of action is
to stay on the sidelines and let Bashar al-Assad murder his people while we
look the other way.
The killing of children by a regime determined to
intimidate the opposition made that point abundantly clear.